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Panic'd market pissing in political sandbox, so now what?

Thursday, March 20, 2008


Colour me red, but I decided to abstain from blogging before, during, and after the by-election. The MSM stuttered their speculative stake-raising nonsense and bloggers echoed the dysfunction in tune with their respective party lines.

As fun as it was, we may be facing economic problems so serious that we'll be forced to discuss real ideas for a change -- and wouldn't that be charming?

The National's lead story today featured one investor who said "we're looking at a financial crisis equal to that of the 1930s. We should all be very concerned about what that means."

But he wasn't the only one using alarmist rhetoric.

Another said "there is a possibility we could have a depression. We could be looking at 1929. I'm not forecasting that and I don't want to be represented as such, but the dangers are real and apparent."

The TSX plunged 400 points; the loonie saw its biggest single drop in 40 years, and the price of oil -- often called a market 'fundamental' by those with hats over their eyes -- keeps fluctuating so much that any minute we're all going to keel over with acute nausea.

It's just one day's movement, but the ride's not over.

Lyle Gramley, Former Governor of the US fed and 50-some-odd year economic veteran, said, "we need to begin to start thinking outside the box because what we're experiencing now in financial markets is unlike anything I have seen in more than 50 years in looking at the economy."

But just when we think the market's pissing in our sandbox, we hear such soothing words as "the fundamentals of our economy are still strong," usually alluding to the demand for oil. In fact, it's something our own delusional PM said a few months back, and something a good many people were saying at the beginning of the credit crisis, which I dare point out, keeps worsening.

***

In the midst of all the anxiety, I'd like to take up Gramley's offer and suggest an idea from outside the box:

We have a global market that is ruled by an unthinking, greedy, and growing global mob. At the centre of the mob, we have a huge hulk of a monster -- the US -- deep in debt from a nasty addiction to oil and oil wars, and using dirty money to finance it all. The dirty money comes from bad loans and other grimy, unseemly "quick cash" schemes.

Suddenly, Murphy and his law caught the US with its pants down, and now we have an economic problem that some are comparing to the 1930s.

But have you heard anyone talk about how broken our global financial institutions are? Are we thinking about changing how we finance credit and debt? Are we talking about just how bad an investment expensive oil is in this warming world (for that matter, do we realize how little oil actually contributes to the Canadian economy as a percentage of GDP)?

No, not at all. In fact, we more often than not hear people jabber on about how oil investments will somehow save us from diving off the edge of an economic cliff; that, like I said, it somehow constitutes a market "fundamental."

The problem with this logic is that oil means nothing if its prices is so high that it grinds down -- rather than greases -- the global economy. And if you look at the problem without your economic-fundamentalist blinders on, you notice that dirty, expensive oil is the dumbest investment we could possibly make in the economy, nevermind the planet, especially at this stage in history.

This is a twofold emergency made worse by our short-term thinking. Though whether we ever treat it as an emergency in Canada is debatable. Our present government doesn't believe in intervention, and I wonder sometimes if they even understand global warming.

Most of all, though this may at first seem from out of left-field, we need to reform our global financial practices. Currency-trading and debt-based economics have not served us well. The practice of using the US dollar as a reserve currency needs to end, and we need a globally-neutral currency or resource to replace it.

Not gold.

We don't have the luxury today of thinking that gold is the world's most precious resource. The most precious resource today the proportion of non-carbon elements in our atmosphere.

What am I talking about? We are facing not one, but two global emergencies: One being the credit crunch, the other, as I alluded to, being global warming. With a currency adjustment, we can quickly harness the power of the free market to save our future.

There is no reason why we can't translate the chemistry of our atmosphere into a global, ecologically-backed currency unit that prevents us from further overstepping our ecological limit and launches us toward a sure-footed economic future built on clean energy.

Sounds funny, you think, making cash out of thin air? Well just what the heck do you think we're doing right now?

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posted by James
Thursday, March 20, 2008

2 comments

connecting the credit crunch dots

Saturday, September 22, 2007


It wasn't a depression-era bank run. But it was a bank run. And problems with Britain's Northern Rock are a sign of more financial turmoil to come.

The media has billed this a "subprime housing crisis" but there is an even bigger untold story at play here. This crisis is linked to the same money market lunacy that has fueled the rapidly-growing global economy - and some of our global environmental woes by extension.

In the latest episode of the credit crunch, Britain's Northern Rock has faced difficulty securing funds from international money markets due to the US subprime lending crisis. Northern Rock is a small lender, but it demonstrates how even a small bank run can have a negative effect on consumer confidence, justifiably driving us to take out everything we have before it vanishes.

But in our debt-based fiat system, the worst thing we could do for our financial security is withdraw all of our money. What the system drives us to do is build more credit-financed malls and buy more and bigger homes and cars - with as many huge loans as possible - just to keep it from collapsing (here's a video that gives a good background to this, though I disagree with their prescriptions).

I wonder if we might, just maybe, consider re-engineering our system so that it stops "thriving" on debt and mass consumption? It wasn't always this way, after all. This lunacy began after the end of the Nixon shock - during the Vietnam war. Before that, money was a stand-in for gold. Now money stands in for nothing but money itself.

This credit crunch started in the housing market because the housing market is one of the world's primary sources of money-making. These are literally the trees that money grow on - and one of the largest incubators of ecologically-unsustainable, high-entropy growth economics.

For the interim, our solutions are still based on our "more, bigger, better" understanding of the world. Several governments have promised to inject more cash in the system. And now banks are contributing, too.

By the way, under this twisted arrangement, the kind of gross government debt we see in the United States is actually "good" for the economy - for the moment - making the war in Iraq "good" economic policy.

Back in Britain, the government is also considering increasing deposit protection - up to £100,000 - to deal with the recent run on the banks. Though at £210,578 (BBC), the average price for a British home is worth more than double what it's protected for.

One last thing. As I was reading an article related to the British credit situation, I noticed an ad next to the headline: Firstplus - a secured home loan provider - is offering 7.9% APR on a homeowner loan! But hurry, the offer ends September 30th!!! Unbelievable.

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posted by James
Saturday, September 22, 2007

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